A Joosr Guide to How Not to Be Wrong by Jordan Ellenberg

This misleading tactic is hard to spot normally, but if you have a mathematician’s mind, you’ll be able to see how percentages can be manipulated to produce technically-true statements to lead you into believing something that isn’t true

Though Jason and Will may be fictional, similar situations to theirs are frequent in reality, and not just in sports situations. You’ll often find exceptionally good or bad performances followed up by average ones. This is known in math as “regression to the mean,” which simply refers to any situation that naturally reverts to an average. This reversion happens because often what caused the outlier performance was not a lack or sudden burst of skill. Often, these outliers are simply the result of chance occurrences. Eventually